Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Troyes		Lyon

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.6	Watch
	5.25	4.1	1.61
	5.25	4.6	1.56	Watch
	4.1	3.85	1.75
	5.25	4.36	1.65
	5.5	4	1.6
	5.05	4.2	1.63	Watch
	5.2	4.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.98)	4.18 ↑ (4.12)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Troyes
18.8%

Draw
22.8%

Lyon
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

23.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.8%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	10.9%	81.8%

Troyes - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lyon will win (45 of 55 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.63% – 92.01%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).

Troyes has the most likely position - 17 (16.38%), has project points - 36, has currently - 19, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lyon has the most likely position - 7 (16.31%), has project points - 57, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 57, small importance 29, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0.

Troyes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lyon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lyon is a favorite.

There will not play in Troyes: Conte A. (Injury) Dingome T. (Foot Injury) Palaversa A. (Injury) Rami A. (Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Jeffinho (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 6-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
01.02.23	Toulouse - Troyes	4:1 ✺
28.01.23	Troyes - Lens	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Lille - Troyes	5:1 ✺
11.01.23	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
08.01.23	Lille - Troyes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLL
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
01.02.23	Lyon - Brest	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Ajaccio - Lyon	0:2 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
28.01.23	Hyères - Lyon	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.01.23	Chambéry - Lyon	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.01.23	Lyon - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.08.22	Lyon - Troyes	4:1
16.01.22	Troyes - Lyon	0:1
22.09.21	Lyon - Troyes	3:1
06.05.18	Lyon - Troyes	3:0
22.10.17	Troyes - Lyon	0:5
09.01.16	Lyon - Troyes	4:1
31.10.15	Troyes - Lyon	0:1

Upcoming Matches