The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troyes 19.5%
Draw 24.3%
Nice 56.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
20.1%
25.1%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
19.5%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.8%
12.2%
78%
Troyes - Nice Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nice will win
(32 of 41 users predict this - 78.05%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.38% โ 90.72%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).
Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (64.43%), project points - 27, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Nice has the most likely position - 9 (26.7%), project points - 54, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality51, very small importance1, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.
Troyes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Nice has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Nice is a favorite.
There will not play in Troyes: Conte A.
(Injury)
Kouame R.
(Yellow Cards)
Ripart R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Nice: Beka Beka A.
(Hip Injury)
Bryan J.
(Injury)
Diop S.
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Injury)
Pepe N.
(Knee Injury)
Viti M.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
Croatia
France
Serbia
United Kingdom
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