Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 31

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport Football, Sky Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Olympique Marseille		Troyes

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	13	Watch
	1.21	7	13
	1.18	7	15
	1.2	6.5	12
	1.21	7.5	13.69
	1.18	7	15
	1.2	7	13.5	Watch
	1.23	7.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.21)	6.96 ↑ (6.54)	13.52 ↑ (12.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
79.2%

Draw
13.7%

Troyes
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

14.5%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	4.2%	16.7%

Olympique Marseille - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Marseille has the most likely position - 2 (49.35%), project points - 76, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a good chance of qualify for ucl (83%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (44.58%), project points - 27, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 53, importance 43, match rating 48. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 4.

Marseille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Troyes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Marseille is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Marseille: Harit A. (Knee Injury) Ounahi A. (Finger Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

There will not play in Troyes: Ripart R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tardieu F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Marseille won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
09.04.23	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	0:0 ✺
31.03.23	Olympique Marseille - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Reims - Olympique Marseille	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWTW
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
09.04.23	Troyes - Clermont	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Auxerre - Troyes	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Troyes - Brest	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Lorient - Troyes	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Troyes - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
11.01.23	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	0:2
27.02.22	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	1:1
28.11.21	Olympique Marseille - Troyes	1:0
15.04.18	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	2:3
20.12.17	Olympique Marseille - Troyes	3:1
14.05.16	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	1:1
23.08.15	Olympique Marseille - Troyes	6:0

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