Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
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Brazil	DAZN Brasil
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Portugal	DAZN / App
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Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
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South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
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United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Truro City		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	3	3.3	2.22
	3.08	3.44	2.3
	2.88	3.4	2.33	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.14	3.3	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.45)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
30.5%

Draw
28%

Hartlepool United
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.3%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Truro City - Hartlepool United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Truro (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 1 - 50%). Hartlepool (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stone A. (G) 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 33. Cooper G. 5. Harrison T. 15. Jephcott L. 22. Stretton J. 4. Dean W. 17. Roberts C. 3. Riley-Lowe C. (C) 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 18. Issaka F.	23. Hayes N. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 15. Hunter J. 3. John C. 14. Sheron N. (C) 35. Caton C. 18. Miley J. 28. Daly M. 19. Reid A. 37. Sinclair T.
Substitutes
2. Bell Z. 32. Charsley H. 27. Janneh S. 21. Kinsey M. 1. Lavercombe D. (G) 20. Law R. 19. Pyke R.	10. Campbell A. 8. Ferguson N. 17. Folarin S. 39. Okike C. 27. Oliver V. 40. Smith A. (G) 38. Walker B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', John C. 🟨,
18', Jephcott L. 🟨,
39', Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Johnson-Fisher D. ↓, Janneh S. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Caton C. ⚽,
51', Cooper G. ↓, Kinsey M. ↑,
60', Benn J. 🟨,
70', Issaka F. 🟨,
73', Oxlade-Chamberlain C. ↓, Bell Z. ↑,
74', Roberts C. ↓, Charsley H. ↑,
78', Reid A. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
84', Sinclair T. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
84', Caton C. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
86', Issaka F. ↓, Pyke R. ↑,
88', Riley-Lowe C. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Truro has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Hartlepool has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Truro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hartlepool might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Truro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Truro City - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.55%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
07.03.26	Altrincham - Truro City	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Southend United - Truro City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Truro City - Braintree Town	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Eastleigh - Truro City	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Truro City - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLL
- Hartlepool United
English National League
07.03.26	Hartlepool United - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Hartlepool United - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Solihull Moors - Hartlepool United	3:4 ✺
11.02.26	York City - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.11.25	Hartlepool United - Truro City	3:1

Truro City - Hartlepool United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide