Match Info

National League South - Round 43

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Truro City

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.6
	3.95	3.45	1.87
	3.96	3.47	1.91
	4.18	3.34	1.88
	3.95	3.45	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.82)	3.44 ↓ (3.51)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
22.3%

Draw
26.9%

Truro City
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.7%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Truro City aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Hornchurch - Truro City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Truro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Truro (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Wraight T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 1 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, Kabia J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Truro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Truro have a series of guest games.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
05.04.25	Welling United - Hornchurch	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	2:4 ✺
25.03.25	Hornchurch - Worthing	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	St Albans City - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hornchurch - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWTL
- Truro City
English National League South
05.04.25	Worthing - Truro City	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Truro City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Enfield Town - Truro City	3:2 ✺
11.03.25	Chippenham Town - Truro City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.01.25	Truro City - Hornchurch	2:1
13.04.13	Hornchurch - Truro City	1:2

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