Match Info

National League South - Round 42

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	2.95
	2.36	3.35	2.8
	2.4	3.37	2.84
	2.36	3.28	2.83
	2.36	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
39.8%

Draw
27.8%

Truro City
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Worthing - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Dean W. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Cashman D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 2, Jephcott L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Worthing is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Worthing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 2:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Last Results with these Odds

Truro City - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
29.03.25	Worthing - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Hornchurch - Worthing	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Welling United - Worthing	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:0 ✺
10.03.25	Aveley - Worthing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Truro City
English National League South
29.03.25	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Truro City - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Enfield Town - Truro City	3:2 ✺
11.03.25	Chippenham Town - Truro City	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Truro City - Welling United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.08.24	Truro City - Worthing	5:0
13.01.24	Truro City - Worthing	1:4
07.10.23	Worthing - Truro City	2:2

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