Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loudoun United		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.78	3.7	3.9
	1.86	3.68	4.04
				Watch
	1.62	4	4
	1.81	3.68	3.87	Watch
	1.7	3.95	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	3.8 ↓ (4.1)	4.02 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
53%

Draw
24.1%

Orange County SC
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

22.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Loudoun United - Orange County SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Orange County SC will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Loudoun: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Orange County SC (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Loudoun United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Loudoun (votes: 3 - 75%). Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 16. Turner C. 22. Dambrot R. 6. Awuah K. 31. Karamoko H. 8. Nyeman M. 4. McCabe T. 11. Aboukoura A. 10. Valot F. 14. Ryan Z. (C)	1. Shutler C. (G) 32. Ciotta N. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 20. Latinovich V. 23. Doghman R. 14. Hegardt C. 4. Benalcazar N. 19. Partida K. 17. MacKinnon L. 9. Zubak E. 7. Dunbar C.
Substitutes
15. Bidois R. 21. Garay J. 30. Jack R. (G) 7. Leggett W. 20. Mines B. 35. Pendleton E. 17. Santos P. 12. Skundrich D.	13. Guimaraes P. 11. Jamison B. 31. Kadono T. (G) 28. Karam G. 27. Kelly S. 26. Kone C. 33. Miles A. 8. Sylla O. 21. War M.
Coaches
Martin R.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
24', Tingey K. 🟨,
32', Ryan Z. 🟥,
44', Zubak E. 🟨,
45+7', Karamoko H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nyeman M. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
46', Karamoko H. ↓, Skundrich D. ↑,
58', Aboukoura A. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
58', MacKinnon L. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
58', Partida K. ↓, Kelly S. ↑,
62', Skundrich D. 🟨,
69', Dambrot R. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
75', Hegardt C. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
75', Zubak E. ↓, War M. ↑,
78', Kelly S. 🟨,
84', Doghman R. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
85', Bidois R. ↓, Mines B. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Loudoun has had a series of home games.

In this match, Loudoun is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Loudoun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Cup
28.06.25	Loudoun United - Charlotte Independence	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
25.06.25	Loudoun United - Louisville City	1:4 ✺
20.06.25	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Loudoun United - Detroit City	3:2 ✺
07.06.25	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWT
- Orange County SC
USL Cup
28.06.25	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
14.06.25	El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC	0:3 ✺
07.06.25	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Monterey Bay - Orange County SC	3:2 ✺
USL Championship
24.05.25	Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	0:2
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	1:2
USL Championship
15.07.23	Loudoun United - Orange County SC	1:3
25.06.22	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	3:1

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