Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
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Russia	Okko Sport
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Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
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Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor, TRT Spor Yildiz
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 10
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Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, VIX App


	Twente		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.8
	1.88	3.9	3.6
	1.92	3.8	3.8
	1.89	4.01	3.96
	1.81	4.09	3.93	Watch
	1.91	3.9	3.6
	1.9	4.24	3.93
	1.95	3.85	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.17)	3.97 ↑ (3.58)	3.81 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
50.8%

Draw
24.1%

Beşiktaş
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.1%	18.4%	28.6%

Twente - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 25 - 52.1%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 14 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 38% – 66.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 38. Bruns M. 3. Lagerbielke G. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 18. Vlap M. 23. Sadilek M. 14. Steijn S. 11. Rots D. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C) 30. Ltaief S.	34. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 53. Topcu E. 14. Uduokhai F. 26. Masuaku A. 83. Fernandes G. 6. Al Musrati 7. Rashica M. 27. Rafa Silva 23. Muci E. 17. Immobile C.
Substitutes
41. Besselink G. 2. Hilgers M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 29. Kuster H. 24. Mesbahi J. 22. Tyton P. (G) 7. van Bergen M. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.	44. Ay F. K. 94. Baytekin G. (G) 4. Bulut O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 18. Joao Mario 9. Kilicsoy S. 93. Ozuarap A. B. 8. Ucan S. 22. Zaynutdinov B.
Coaches
Oosting J.	Solskjaer O. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Salah-Eddine A. 🟨,
18', Svensson J. 🟨,
37', Immobile C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Immobile C. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
54', Rashica M. 🟨,
60', Rafa Silva ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
66', Topcu E. 🟨,
69', Muci E. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Rots D. ⚽, Salah-Eddine A. (A),
80', Rashica M. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
80', Svensson J. ↓, Bulut O. ↑,
80', Ltaief S. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
87', Vlap M. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
87', Steijn S. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
90+2', Rots D. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Twente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beşiktaş is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Twente have a series of guest games.

Twente will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Injury) Lammers S. (Injury) Taha Y. (Broken Leg) Unuvar N. (Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Oxlade-Chamberlain A. (Inactive) Sanuc T. T. (Hamstring Injury) Terzi E. (Ankle Injury) Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Gabriel Paulista (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Twente
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Malmö - Twente	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
19.01.25	NAC Breda - Twente	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Twente	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.01.25	Twente - Willem II	6:2 ✺
21.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
26.01.25	Antalyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.25	Beşiktaş - Athletic Bilbao	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
18.01.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Beşiktaş - Bodrumspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWTWW

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