Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 14

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: Kamphuis J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Greece	Nova Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Sport Extra
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV


	Emmen		Ajax

	1	X	2
	11	5.75	1.25	Watch
	10.5	6.25	1.26
	11.5	6.1	1.25
	9.6	6	1.25
	11.28	6	1.28
	12	5.5	1.24	Watch
	10.25	6.1	1.25	Watch
	11	6.2	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.89 ↓ (11.93)	5.99 ↓ (6.67)	1.26 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
8.7%

Draw
15.8%

Ajax
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.9%

14.1%

78%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	7.4%	81.5%

Emmen - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (44 of 54 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.12% – 91.84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Emmen has the most likely position - 16 (13%), has project points - 33, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajax has the most likely position - 1 (47.09%), has project points - 76, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (75%), has a chance of win league (47%).

This event has quality 57, importance 60, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Emmen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ajax is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Emmen: Hardeveld J. (Knee Injury) Kieftenbeld M. (Knee Injury) Lieder M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ajax: Ihattaren M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Setford C. (Hand Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Emmen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eredivisie
05.11.22	Fortuna Sittard - Emmen	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Emmen - Groningen	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Vitesse - Emmen	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.10.22	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Emmen	1:2 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.10.22	Emmen - Volendam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTLWT
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
09.11.22	Ajax - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.11.22	Glasgow Rangers - Ajax	1:3 ✺
26.10.22	Ajax - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.10.22	Waalwijk - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
02.05.21	Ajax - Emmen	4:0
28.11.20	Emmen - Ajax	0:5
10.08.19	Ajax - Emmen	5:0
03.04.19	Emmen - Ajax	2:5
25.08.18	Ajax - Emmen	5:0
Club Friendly
07.07.12	Emmen - Ajax	0:5

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