Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	ANT1, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 3
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 6
Greece	19:45	ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Mexico	11:45	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports Premium
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 4
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 2
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Olympiacos Piraeus		Twente

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4.75
	1.77	3.8	4.4
	1.75	4	4.5
	1.74	3.96	4.72
	1.73	3.98	4.54	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.75
	1.8	4.06	4.66
	1.75	4.05	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.94 ↑ (3.6)	4.61 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
54.9%

Draw
24.3%

Twente
20.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

24.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	4.9%	9.8%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 96. Mouzakitis C. 32. Hezze S. 10. Martins G. 84. Kostoulas C. 18. Willian 9. El Kaabi A.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 2. Hilgers M. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 34. Salah-Eddine A. 8. Regeer Y. 14. Steijn S. 23. Sadilek M. 9. van Wolfswinkel R. (C) 10. Lammers S. 18. Vlap M.
Substitutes
99. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 65. Apostolopoulos A. 4. Biancone G. 16. Carmo D. 20. Costinha 19. Masouras G. 74. Ntoi A. 27. Oliveira S. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 8. Stamenic M. 11. Velde K. 17. Yaremchuk R.	41. Besselink G. 38. Bruns M. 6. Eiting C. 16. El Maach I. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 5. Kuipers B. 3. Lagerbielke G. 30. Ltaief S. 11. Rots D. 39. Rots M. 22. Tyton P. (G) 7. van Bergen M.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Oosting J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
14', Regeer Y. 🟨,
23', Regeer Y. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
26', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟨,
37', Hilgers M. ↓, Lagerbielke G. ↑,
40', El Kaabi A. (Pen),
45+3', Martins G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Retsos P. ↓, Carmo D. ↑,
68', Willian ↓, Costinha ↑,
71', Hezze S. 🟨,
79', Ltaief S. ↓, van Bergen M. ↑,
79', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
79', Sadilek M. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
82', Mouzakitis C. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
82', Ortega F. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
82', Kostoulas C. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
84', Oosting J. 🟨,

Preview

Olympiacos is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Twente is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olympiacos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olympiacos is a favorite.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Carmo D. (Knock) Yaremchuk R. (Injury) Yazici Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Taha Y. (Shin Injury) Unnerstall L. (Injury) van Wolfswinkel R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Olympiacos: Koutsidis I. (Illness)

Our prediction for today's Olympiacos to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olympiacos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
07.12.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
04.12.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Athens Kallithea	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
01.12.24	OFI - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	FCSB - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
Greek Super League
24.11.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTW
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.24	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	6:1 ✺
01.12.24	Twente - Go Ahead Eagles	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Twente - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.24	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Twente - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.15	Twente - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2

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