Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 31

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)


	Tyumen		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	3.56	3.1	2.17
	3.5	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3	3.2	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.71)	3.2 (3.2)	2.15 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
27.7%

Draw
29.1%

Akron Tolyatti
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.4%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tyumen's form might have worsened.

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akron Tolyatti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tyumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Lyubakov E. (G) 19. Baytukov R. 72. Bem A. 57. Bolotov E. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 9. Markelov I. 71. Nasyrov I. 6. Pechenkin N. 11. Porokhov I. 88. Samoilov D. 17. Shitov V.	1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 70. Eldarushev A. 21. Galoyan A. 52. Konyukhov V. 6. Makarov S. 10. Palienko M. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K. (C)
Substitutes
34. Balakhontsev N. 77. Druzhinin I. 97. Kasatkin N. 69. Khayloev R. 70. Maryanov A. 45. Moskalenchik I. 27. Myrzakov K. 81. Nikishin K. 13. Petrov M. 1. Savin A. (G) 51. Sinyak A. 10. Tatarinov E.	16. Akmurzin T. (G) 59. Bart R. 14. Bokoev M. 91. Boldyrev M. D. 27. Chudin I. 20. Dimoski B. 22. Galkin V. 9. Glushkov N. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 18. Kilin A. 8. Pesegov E. 19. Sangare D. (G)
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Tedeev Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Palienko M. ↓, Chudin I. ↑,
20', 0 - 1, Chudin I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Andjelkovic N. ↓, Bokoev M. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Danilin K. ⚽,
68', Markelov I. ↓, Maryanov A. ↑,
78', Samoilov D. ↓, Druzhinin I. ↑,
78', Korotaev A. ↓, Tatarinov E. ↑,
78', Bolotov E. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
84', Bem A. ↓, Sinyak A. ↑,
87', Ponce A. ↓, Kilin A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Akron will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
30.04.24	Rodina Moscow - Tyumen	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Tyumen - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Tyumen - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLWL
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
28.04.24	KAMAZ - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	6:0 ✺
13.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
27.08.23	Akron Tolyatti - Tyumen	1:2
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
20.10.19	Akron Tolyatti - Tyumen	3:0
16.08.19	Tyumen - Akron Tolyatti	2:0

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