Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lukoil Arena (Moscow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 5


	Spartak Moscow		Ural

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.87	8.21
	1.37	5	8.8	Watch
	1.39	4.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	4.82 ↓ (5.35)	8.27 ↓ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spartak Moscow
68.8%

Draw
19.7%

Ural
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

17.9%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

16%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Spartak Moscow - Ural Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Spartak M (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (C) 6. Babic S. 5. Barco E. 77. Bongonda T. 97. Denisov D. 68. Litvinov R. 8. Marquinhos 35. Martins Pereira C. 2. Reabciuk O. 9. Ugalde M. 18. Umyarov N.	77. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 55. Ayupov T. 2. Begic S. (C) 27. Chudin I. 5. Egorychev A. 44. Malkevich V. 46. Mamin A. 43. Margasov T. 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E. K. 50. Voronov M.
Substitutes
14. Abena M. 23. Chernov N. 16. Dovbnya A. (G) 11. Garcia L. 22. Ignatov M. 82. Khlusevich D. 29. Mangas R. 56. Massalyga N. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 25. Prutsev D. 7. Solari P. 47. Zobnin R.	4. Bessmertniy S. 22. Beveev M. 37. Bondarev V. 15. Ishkov I. 16. Italo 71. Mamin A. (G) 20. Markov E. 17. Sekulic M. 75. Sungatulin F. 14. Zheleznov Y.
Coaches
Stankovic D.	Tomarov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Martins Pereira C. ⚽, Reabciuk O. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽,
35', Morozov N. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Barco E. (Pen),
42', Egorychev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martins Pereira C. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
46', Begic S. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
46', Malkevich V. ↓, Sungatulin F. ↑,
46', Mosin E. K. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
58', Voronov M. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
64', Marquinhos ↓, Solari P. ↑,
64', Bongonda T. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
65', Sungatulin F. 🟨,
66', Egorychev A. ↓, Zheleznov Y. ↑,
77', Umyarov N. ↓, Prutsev D. ↑,
77', Barco E. ↓, Chernov N. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Ural have a series of home games.

In this match Spartak M is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Spartak M won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:21 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak M won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:10 (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
11.04.25	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Akhmat Grozny - Spartak Moscow	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Zenit	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.03.25	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWTWW
- FK Ural
Russian FNL
11.04.25	Ural - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ural - KAMAZ	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Sokol Saratov - Ural	0:0 ✺
24.03.25	Ural - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Ural - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
30.03.24	Spartak Moscow - Ural	0:0
11.08.23	Ural - Spartak Moscow	3:2
Russian Cup
04.04.23	Ural - Spartak Moscow	2:1
14.03.23	Spartak Moscow - Ural	1:1
Russian Premier League
04.03.23	Spartak Moscow - Ural	2:2
06.08.22	Ural - Spartak Moscow	0:2
07.05.22	Ural - Spartak Moscow	1:3

Upcoming Matches