Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 11

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Independiente del Valle		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.19	5	13	Watch
	1.22	5.25	11
	1.22	5.3	11.5
	1.25	5.6	12.52
	1.25	5.39	12.54	Watch
	1.2	5	13
	1.19	6.06	15.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.25)	5.37 ↑ (4.97)	12.72 ↑ (11.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
75.6%

Draw
17.1%

Leones del Norte
7.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Independiente del Valle - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Leones del Norte will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 11. Perello M. 8. Ochoa Y. 31. Pata E. 99. Reasco D.	45. Nazareno L. (G) 32. Aguas A. 4. Arroyo R. 23. Monserrat N. 2. Moran J. 34. Portocarrero S. 9. Arrieta S. 13. Cabeza J. 8. Velez C. 70. Pazmino D. 40. Anangono J. (C)
Substitutes
6. Alcivar J. 50. Angulo J. 12. Bores E. (G) 16. Briones R. 14. Carabajal M. 20. Gomez A. 9. Gonzalez C. 55. Guagua D. 53. Lerma J. 19. Loor L. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A.	22. Arroyo J. (G) 50. Caicedo M. 27. Caicedo Nestor 11. Caramuto M. 33. Chacon A. 5. Coppo T. 16. De La Cruz M. 44. Mina K. 19. Pepinos E. 99. Solano C. 3. Vargas F.
Coaches
Papa J.	Mendez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', Aguas A. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Arrieta S. ⚽, Portocarrero S. (A),
31', Nazareno L. 🟨,
33', Arrieta S. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 1, Perello M. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
45+9', Mendez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Velasco A. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
46', Perello M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽,
53', Aguas A. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
53', Cabeza J. ↓, Caramuto M. ↑,
68', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
68', Espinoza J. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
77', Papa J. 🟨,
85', Pazmino D. ↓, De La Cruz M. ↑,
85', Solano C. ↓, Caicedo Nestor ↑,
85', Pata E. ↓, Guagua D. ↑,
90+5', Anangono J. 🟨,
90+7', Arroyo R. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Leones del Norte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leones del Norte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.04.26	Delfín - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Central	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Rosario Central - Independiente del Valle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWT
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.04.26	Leones del Norte - Manta	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Leones del Norte - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Leones del Norte - Delfín	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWT

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