Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	UD Logroñés		Gernika

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.35	5.7
	1.6	3.69	5.67
	1.89	3.28	3.95	Watch
	1.57	3.35	6.1
	1.6	3.6	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	5.35 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés
56%

Draw
26.7%

Gernika
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.2%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

30.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Logroñés's performance.

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

UD Logroñés - Gernika Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Logroñés (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Mari Sanchez M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Morales A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Morales A. ⚽,
79', 4 - 0, Rezola M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 3.

Logroñés has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gernika has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gernika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Logroñés is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:6. (average 2.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Logroñés won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.25	Basconia - UD Logroñés	3:3 ✺
16.11.25	UD Logroñés - Eibar B	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sestao - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	UD Logroñés - Utebo	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	UD Logroñés - Ponferradina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLLWL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.25	Gernika - Beasain	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tudelano - Gernika	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gernika - Ebro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gernika	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Gernika - Ejea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.02.25	Gernika - UD Logroñés	2:2
22.09.24	UD Logroñés - Gernika	3:1
21.04.24	Gernika - UD Logroñés	0:2
10.12.23	UD Logroñés - Gernika	7:1
31.03.19	Gernika - UD Logroñés	0:0
11.11.18	UD Logroñés - Gernika	2:0
08.04.18	UD Logroñés - Gernika	3:0

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