The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Logroñés 51.8%
Draw 27.5%
Sestao 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
26.5%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
26.2%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-1%)
UD Logroñés - Sestao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Muguruza A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Rosas B. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).
Logroñés is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Sestao has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sestao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Logroñés is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Logroñés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.