Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	UNAM		Atlas

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.75	4.8
	1.58	3.95	5.4
	1.69	3.94	5.41
	1.74	3.64	4.63	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.8	5.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	5.04 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
56.7%

Draw
24.8%

Atlas
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	35.3%	0%

UNAM - Atlas Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (G) 2. Bennevendo P. 215. Azuaje A. 77. Angulo A. 6. Nathan Silva 22. Medina A. 8. Caicedo J. 45. Vite P. 28. Carrasquilla A. 17. Ruvalcaba J. 9. Martinez G.	12. Vargas C. (G) 3. Gustavo Ferrareis 13. Aguirre G. 5. Matheus Doria 4. Mora A. 17. Lozano J. 11. Gonzalez D. 15. Ramirez P. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 10. del Prete G. 32. Djurdjevic U.
Substitutes
248. Garcia I. 263. Juarez A. 7. Lopez R. 11. Macias J. 13. Monroy P. 181. Paul M. (G) 10. Ramsey A. 15. Rivas U. 20. Trigos S.	7. Coccaro M. 8. Garcia M. E. 58. Gonzalez A. 199. Hernandez S. 23. Orrantia C. 44. Pier R. 16. Ramirez A. 14. Ramos C. (G) 21. Robles C. 192. Serrato J.
Coaches
Juarez E.	Cocca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Lozano J. 🟨,
37', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
45+8', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', del Prete G. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
67', Medina A. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
74', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
82', Bennevendo P. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
83', Gonzalez D. ↓, Orrantia C. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Ramsey A. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
90+3', Ramsey A. 🟨,
90+3', Aguirre G. 🟨,
90+6', Ramirez P. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.

UNAM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, UNAM is the team to beat.

There will not play in UNAM: Duarte R. (Yellow Cards) Lopez S. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E. (Muscle Injury) Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Rocha A. (Red Card) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in UNAM: Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Lara P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Ramirez P. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
24.08.25	UNAM - Puebla	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Toluca - UNAM	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	UNAM - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Inter Miami - UNAM	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	UNAM - Atlanta United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTTLW
- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
24.08.25	Atlas - Club América	2:4 ✺
17.08.25	Querétaro - Atlas	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Atlas - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Atlanta United - Atlas	4:1 ✺
02.08.25	Orlando City - Atlas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
26.01.25	UNAM - Atlas	0:0
24.08.24	Atlas - UNAM	2:1
14.02.24	Atlas - UNAM	0:0
05.11.23	UNAM - Atlas	3:0
05.02.23	UNAM - Atlas	2:2
03.09.22	Atlas - UNAM	0:0
20.02.22	Atlas - UNAM	0:0

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