Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	UNAM		Club América

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.4
	2.52	3.35	2.68
	2.62	3.49	2.79
	2.57	3.31	2.77
	2.38	3.1	2.63
	2.49	3.32	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.92)	3.35 ↓ (3.42)	2.66 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
36.9%

Draw
27.9%

Club América
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.5%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club América might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

UNAM - Club América Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 50%). América will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - UNAM (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 45. Vite P. 21. Antuna U. 28. Carrasquilla A. 33. Carrillo J. 77. Angulo A. 31. Morales R. 23. Juninho	30. Cota R. (G) 12. Violante I. 34. Espinoza D. 29. Juarez R. 32. Vazquez M. 5. Alvarez K. 28. Sanchez E. 6. dos Santos J. (C) 7. Rodriguez B. 33. Salas P. 10. Zendejas A.
Substitutes
215. Azuaje A. 2. Bennevendo P. 205. del Valle Y. 14. Garza C. 35. Lara P. (G) 24. Leone T. 193. Ramirez D. 26. Rico A. 19. Rivas J. 20. Trigos S.	14. Araujo N. 13. Cervantes A. 22. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 20. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 45. Lima 9. Martin H. 18. Mejia A. 23. Raphael Veiga 17. Rodrigo Dourado 21. Tapia F. (G)
Coaches
Juarez E.	Jardine A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Duarte R. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Nathan Silva ⚽, Vite P. (A),
23', 3 - 0, Carrillo J. ⚽, Juninho (A),
30', 3 - 1, Salas P. ⚽, Zendejas A. (A),
40', 3 - 2, Zendejas A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+11', Juninho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Salas P. ↓, Martin H. ↑,
61', 3 - 3, Zendejas A. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
65', Antuna U. ↓, Leone T. ↑,
74', Lopez R. ↓, Bennevendo P. ↑,
74', Carrillo J. ↓, Garza C. ↑,
75', Sanchez E. ↓, Lima ↑,
75', dos Santos J. ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
75', Espinoza D. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
80', Angulo A. 🟨,
82', Juninho ↓, Azuaje A. ↑,
85', Carrasquilla A. 🟨,
87', Martin H. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Alvarez K. ↓, Araujo N. ↑,
90+5', Araujo N. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-3.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 2.

UNAM is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

América has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, América has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in UNAM: Macias J. (Knee Injury) Medina A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in América: Borja C. (Muscle Injury) Caceres S. (Concussion) Davila V. (Knee Injury) Malagon L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez B. (Muscle Injury) Zuniga J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in América: Vazquez M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Club America	9	6	2	1	21:10	11	20
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

UNAM - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Club América - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
03.05.26	Club América - UNAM	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Pachuca - UNAM	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	UNAM - Juárez	4:2 ✺
17.04.26	Atlético San Luis - UNAM	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	UNAM - Mazatlan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWWW
- Club América
Mexican Liga MX
03.05.26	Club América - UNAM	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Club América - Atlas	0:1 ✺
21.04.26	Club León - Club América	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Club América - Toluca	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.04.26	Club América - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
03.05.26	Club América - UNAM	3:3
21.03.26	UNAM - Club América	1:0
27.09.25	Club América - UNAM	4:1
22.02.25	UNAM - Club América	0:2
29.09.24	Club América - UNAM	0:1
20.04.24	UNAM - Club América	2:1
30.09.23	Club América - UNAM	1:0

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