The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chivas Guadalajara 51.1%
Draw 25.9%
Tigres UANL 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.1%
27.2%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
26.6%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 23. Aguirre D. 16. Rey L. 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 25. Alvarado R. 28. Gonzalez F. (C) 11. Gutierrez B. 182. Calderon L. 30. Sandoval S. 10. Alvarez E. 9. Sepulveda A.
1. Guzman N. (G) 15. Franco A. 28. Joaquim 33. Guerrero R. 19. Lainez M. 5. Araujo C. 8. Gorriaran F. (C) 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 16. Lainez D. 17. Aguirre R. 11. Brunetta J.
Substitutes
14. Camberos H. 33. Carrillo J. 56. Chavez A. 5. Gonzalez B. 46. Hernandez C. 57. Hernandez J. 59. Inda S. 37. Ledezma R. 17. Marin R. 13. Whalley O. (G)
29. Contreras J. 14. Garza J. 9. Gomez E. 77. Herrera O. 32. Lorona V. 22. Martinez G. 21. Monreal R. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 34. Simeone 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Milito G.
Vucetich M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Brunetta J. ⚽, Lainez D. (A),
45+2', Brunetta J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Calderon L. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
46', Sepulveda A. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
51', Sandoval S. 🟨,
62', Aguirre R. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
62', Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
62', Lainez D. ↓, Garza J. ↑,
62', Rey L. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
67', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
72', Gonzalez F. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
75', Joaquim ↓, Lorona V. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Carrillo J. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
86', Sandoval S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
87', Gorriaran F. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Guadalajara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Guadalajara carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Guadalajara: Castaneda K.
(Red Card)
Gonzalez B.
(Muscle Injury)
Romo L.
(Thigh Injury).
Confirmed absences for Tigres: Angulo J.
(Knee Injury)
Flores M.
(Knee Injury)
Reyes F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Guadalajara: Gomez M.
(Muscle Injury)
Perez J.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Tigres: Farfan M.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguez O.
(Knee Injury)
Romulo
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:34 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guadalajara against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:18 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Guadalajara Chivas
14
7
5
2
21:12
9
26
15
Tigres UANL
14
3
6
5
15:19
-4
15
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Guadalajara Chivas: 18.1% Tigres UANL: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Rangel R. (G) 
Aguirre D. 
Guzman N. (G) 
Joaquim 
Araujo C. 
Whalley O. (G) 
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