Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 29

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Voloshin N. (Rus)


	Ufa		Dynamo Makhachkala

	1	X	2
	2.54	2.99	3.04
	2.49	2.93	3.02	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.83)	2.94 ↓ (3.05)	2.97 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
37.2%

Draw
31.6%

Dynamo Makhachkala
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Makhachkala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ufa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Makhachkala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ufa - Dynamo Makhachkala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Ufa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dynamo Makhachkala is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ufa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL
22.04.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Ufa	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Ufa - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Krasnodar 2 - Ufa	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Ufa - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	Arsenal Tula - Ufa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL
- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian FNL
22.04.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Rodina Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
15.11.22	Ufa - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:2 penalties
Russian FNL
09.10.22	Dynamo Makhachkala - Ufa	0:1

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