Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Anzhi Arena (Kaspijsk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1


	Dynamo Makhachkala		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	3.34	2.93	2.55
	3.38	3.02	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.73)	2.98 ↓ (3.03)	2.57 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Makhachkala
29.1%

Draw
32.8%

Baltika Kaliningrad
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

31.4%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

31.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baltika Kaliningrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Volk D. (G) 22. Azzi M. 24. Alarcon A. 5. Tabidze J. 13. Kagermazov S. 47. Glushkov N. (C) 6. Moubarik M. 16. Mrezigue H. 10. Hosseinnejad M. 77. Sundukov T. 25. Agalarov G.	67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 16. Andrade K. (C) 4. Gassama N. 69. Manelov I. 22. Titkov N. 10. Petrov I. 77. Civic E. 73. Petrov M. 91. Gil B. 15. Yenne T.
Substitutes
43. Akhmedov I. 70. Ashurov A. 33. Karabashev N. (G) 39. Magomedov T. (G) 7. Mastouri H. 55. Mechid D. E. 11. Miro 72. Sandrachuk A. 28. Serderov S. 75. Shikhaliev A. 78. Voronin N. 19. Zinovich K.	21. Anderson E. 26. Belikov I. 18. Derik Lacerda 25. Filin A. 14. Kovac S. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 5. Mourid A. 90. Offor C. 42. Pospelov V. 68. Ryadno M.
Coaches
Evseev V.	Nagajcev J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Gil B. ⚽, Petrov I. (A),
40', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Miro ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yenne T. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Agalarov G. ⚽, Sundukov T. (A),
58', Belikov I. 🟨,
60', Civic E. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
61', Tabidze J. ↓, Akhmedov I. ↑,
67', Titkov N. ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Agalarov G. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 2 - 2, Varatynov S. ⚽,
85', Manelov I. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
85', Sundukov T. ↓, Serderov S. ↑,
85', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
86', Agalarov G. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Dynamo Makhachkala has had a series of away games.

Baltika might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Baltika: 0.84% Dynamo Makhachkala: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dynamo Makhachkala	10	4	0	6	15:20	-5	12
10	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Makhachkala - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 25.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Premier League
21.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.03.26	Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
13.03.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Orenburg	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Krylya Sovetov - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWLW
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League
21.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - CSKA Moscow	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
03.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.02.26	Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
05.10.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:0
Club Friendly
15.02.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1
Russian FNL
02.04.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0
12.09.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1

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