Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 19

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)

Referee: Saraev I. (Rus)


	Ufa		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.1	1.96
	4.14	3.27	1.93
	4.2	3.25	1.91	Watch
	3.65	3.25	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.04)	3.22 ↓ (3.37)	1.96 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
24%

Draw
28.7%

Rubin Kazan
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.4%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26.8%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Ufa - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ufa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Rubin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rubin: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ufa won 2.

Recent matches Ufa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rubin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ufa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rubin is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Ufa won 3 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ufa won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian Cup
15.11.22	Ufa - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
12.11.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Ufa	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.11.22	Ufa - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
29.10.22	KAMAZ - Ufa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTWT
- Rubin Kazan
Russian FNL
13.11.22	Rubin Kazan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Rubin Kazan - Baltika Kaliningrad	3:3 ✺
23.10.22	Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar 2	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
01.08.22	Rubin Kazan - Ufa	0:0
Club Friendly
10.07.22	Rubin Kazan - Ufa	1:4
Russian Premier League
21.05.22	Rubin Kazan - Ufa	1:2
24.10.21	Ufa - Rubin Kazan	1:1
14.03.21	Ufa - Rubin Kazan	0:3
26.08.20	Rubin Kazan - Ufa	3:0
01.07.20	Ufa - Rubin Kazan	0:0

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