Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Donaustadion (Ulm)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sportschau, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Ulm 1846		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	3	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.9
	2.35	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.49	3.45	3.08
	2.4	3.36	2.98	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.8
	2.37	3.46	2.92	Watch
	2.35	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.33)	3.37 ↓ (3.51)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
39.7%

Draw
28.2%

Greuther Fürth
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Ulm 1846 - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiede N. (G) 7. Allgeier B. 32. Strompf P. (C) 27. Kolbe N. 19. Meier J. 38. Hyrylainen L. 23. Brandt M. 16. Keller A. 30. Krattenmacher M. 9. Roser L. 29. Telalovic S.	44. Noll N. (G) 4. Michalski D. 33. Dietz M. 27. Itter G. 18. Meyerhofer M. 6. Banse S. 37. Green J. 17. Giesselmann N. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 11. Massimo R. 8. Mustapha S.
Substitutes
44. Castelle N. H. 11. Chessa D. 4. Gaal T. 33. Higl F. 22. Kahvic A. 10. Ludwig A. 5. Reichert J. 43. Rosch R. 12. Seybold M. (G)	9. Futkeu N. 23. Jung G. 1. Korber N. (G) 3. Mhamdi O. 22. Motika N. 36. Muller P. 5. Munz R. 34. Pfaffenrot D. 19. Wagner M.
Coaches
Worle T.	Siewert J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Green J. (Pen),
32', Thiede N. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Telalovic S. (Pen),
45+3', Giesselmann N. 🟨,
45+9', Banse S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Allgeier B. 🟨,
59', Keller A. 🟨,
64', Meyerhofer M. 🟨,
64', Roser L. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
66', Allgeier B. ↓, Reichert J. ↑,
66', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
70', Banse S. ↓, Jung G. ↑,
70', Mustapha S. ↓, Futkeu N. ↑,
75', Strompf P. 🟨,
77', Telalovic S. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
77', Brandt M. ↓, Chessa D. ↑,
82', Meyerhofer M. ↓, Munz R. ↑,
83', Massimo R. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
86', Muller P. 🟨,
89', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Castelle N. H. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).

Recent matches Ulm is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fürth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Ulm: Geyer T. (Knee Injury) Maier P. (Yellow Cards) Ortag C. (Collarbone injury) Stoll L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fürth: Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury) Consbruch J. (Knee Injury) Srbeny D. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ulm: Ulrich L. (Knock)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hertha Berlin - Ulm 1846	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Magdeburg - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Ulm 1846 - Schalke 04	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Darmstadt - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Ulm 1846 - Karlsruher	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTTTL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
09.11.24	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	1:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW

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