The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Umraniyespor 36.6%
Draw 26.8%
Alanyaspor 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
25.3%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
26.5%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umraniyespor's performance.
Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alanyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umraniyespor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alanyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.5%
19.2%
69.2%
Umraniyespor - Alanyaspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 51.5% – 86.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 9).
Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 19 (43.22%), has project points - 27, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Alanyaspor has the most likely position - 10 (10.32%), has project points - 48, has currently - 16, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality33, small importance25, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Umraniyespor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alanyaspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Kirintili S.
(Injury)