The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
União Rondonópolis 8%
Draw 19.3%
Vasco da Gama 72.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.6%
23.2%
66.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.8%
20.8%
59.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União Rondonópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
União Rondonópolis - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. União Rondonópolis will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for União Rondonópolis: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernando Nunes (G) 2. Arthur Amorim 3. Benne 5. Carlao 9. Gabriel Bigode 10. Gionnotti 7. Ikson 6. Iury Cabral 4. Marcio Luiz 8. Nathan 11. Vitinho
1. Leo Jardim (G) 90. Alex Teixeira 11. Coutinho 25. Hugo Moura 38. Joao Victor 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 30. Lukas Zuccarello 85. Mateus Carvalho 96. Paulo Henrique 99. Vegetti P. (C)
Substitutes
13. Alan Abdala 14. Davi 22. Gabriel Santana 15. Geandro 17. Joel 18. Kaua 16. Leo Galon 12. Lucao (G) 21. Lucas Bahia 19. Luiz Gabriel 20. Pablo
16. Alegria 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 8. Jair 21. Jean David 4. Lemos M. 18. Paulinho Paula 10. Payet D. 77. Rayan 2. Rodriguez J. 5. Souza 3. Tche Tche 12. Victor Luis
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Lukas Zuccarello 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. (Pen),
59', Arthur Amorim ↓, Geandro ↑,
60', Gabriel Bigode ↓, Joel ↑,
64', Ikson ↓, Pablo ↑,
65', Vitinho ↓, Kaua ↑,
66', Lukas Zuccarello ↓, Rayan ↑,
66', Alex Teixeira ↓, Jean David ↑,
67', Marcio Luiz ↓, Alan Abdala ↑,
75', Joel 🟨,
79', Coutinho ↓, Payet D. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Rayan ⚽, Payet D. (A),
84', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Hugo Moura ⚽, Tche Tche (A),
Preview
Two teams are playing changeable.
União Rondonópolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.