Match Info
PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 3Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
União de Santarém |
|
Moncarapachense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.6 |
5 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.56 |
5.42 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.67 |
5.29 |
|
 |
1.59 |
3.6 |
5.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.67) |
3.61 ↓
(3.67) |
5.23 ↑
(4.78) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
União de Santarém
57.2% | Draw
25.3% | Moncarapachense
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+2.8%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Conceicao D. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Seidi G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Recent matches União de Santarém is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Moncarapachense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Moncarapachense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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