Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday


	Unión Comercio		Alfonso Ugarte de Puno

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.75
	1.42	4.4	4.9
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.37	5.03	7.07
	1.4	4.4	5.8
	1.38	4.7	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.7)	4.56 ↑ (3.48)	6.08 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
65.1%

Draw
20%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Comercio's performance.

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfonso Ugarte de Puno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfonso Ugarte de Puno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Unión Comercio - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Comercio: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alfonso Ugarte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Unión Comercio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2
03.07.22	Cusco - Unión Comercio	4:1 ✺
18.06.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Unión Comercio	2:3 ✺
12.06.22	Unión Comercio - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
05.06.22	Juan Aurich - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
29.05.22	Unión Comercio - Unión Huaral	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
03.07.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
26.06.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
19.06.22	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:3 ✺
12.06.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Unión Huaral	1:1 ✺
04.06.22	Deportivo Coopsol - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
10.04.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Unión Comercio	1:1

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