Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 9

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Deportes Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	2.02	3.3	3.4
	1.97	3.45	3.64
	1.96	3.52	3.61	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.88	3.34	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)	3.52 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
46.7%

Draw
27.4%

Deportes Santa Cruz
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Unión Española - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 21. Pereira S. 18. Aja J. 24. Norambuena G. (C) 5. Machado W. 22. Nunez A. 17. Massri F. 23. Ojeda U. 20. Wassenne M. 9. Vilches Araneda A.	29. Dobboletta J. (C) 2. Quiroz I. 4. Alucema G. 19. Flores E. 31. Romero N. 6. Orellana F. 8. Acevedo D. 14. Plaza D. 11. Pinto M. 23. Barrios N. 30. Arias D.
Substitutes
4. Celis M. 33. Jaramillo 32. Molina L. 25. Ovando T. 26. Roco B. 19. Tolosa T. 12. Uribe E. (G)	20. Cavero H. 18. Herrera H. 10. Mederos S. 7. Pardo C. 1. Quezada M. 22. Tati D. 9. Zeineddin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Wassenne M. ⚽,
22', Flores E. 🟨,
36', Flores E. ↓, Cavero H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Nunez A. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
64', Acevedo D. ↓, Mederos S. ↑,
64', Barrios N. ↓, Pardo C. ↑,
70', Ojeda U. ↓, Jaramillo ↑,
70', Machado W. ↓, Roco B. ↑,
74', Norambuena G. 🟨,
76', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Ovando T. ↑,
76', Orellana F. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
76', Quiroz I. ↓, Tati D. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Ovando T. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).

Unión Española has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes Santa Cruz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Unión Española is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
14	CD Santa Cruz	26	4	10	12	27:40	-13	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.04.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Unión Española - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLWL
- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.04.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Magallanes	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Curicó Unido	4:2 ✺
15.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL

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