Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Sausalito (Vina del Mar)

Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)


	Unión La Calera		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.1
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	1.98	3.33	4.2
	1.88	3.34	4.16
	1.85	3.2	4	Watch
	1.94	3.28	4.09	Watch
	1.89	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.61)	3.24 ↓ (3.63)	4.17 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
48.7%

Draw
28.9%

Alianza Valledupar
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.5%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Valledupar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Valledupar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Unión La Calera - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 21. Rebolledo R. 22. Ferreyra N. 30. Romo B. 31. Matus E. 10. Cavalleri M. 5. Munoz M. 9. Perez C. 7. Valencia E. 17. Ponce W. 20. Gigliotti E.	30. Graziani P. (G) 2. Navarro E. 3. Figueroa J. 5. Franco P. 16. Saldana L. 22. Ospina Londono L. A. 24. Munoz J. 7. Castillo J. 25. Colpa Bolano R. R. 33. Torres M. 11. Renteria A.
Substitutes
28. Arnijas L. 18. Astudillo B. (G) 27. Encinas A. 13. Ferrario E. 23. Fiamengo D. 8. Hauche G. 29. Huerta R. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 32. Morales Olivares M. G. 24. Parnisari E. 19. Soldano F. 4. Ulloa D.	27. Batalla E. 15. Blanco Betancur C. 19. Blanco R. 26. Gil M. 21. Manjarres R. 1. Mosquera C. (G) 6. Orozco S.
Coaches
Fernandez M.	Bodhert H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Castillo J. 🟨,
45', Franco P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Rebolledo R. ↓, Fiamengo D. ↑,
56', Matus E. ↓, Ulloa D. ↑,
62', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
62', Torres M. ↓, Gil M. ↑,
65', Munoz M. ↓, Hauche G. ↑,
72', Romo B. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Figueroa J. (Pen),
74', Castillo J. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
74', Munoz J. ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
74', Perez C. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
74', Gigliotti E. ↓, Morales Olivares M. G. ↑,
89', Renteria A. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Unión La Calera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Unión La Calera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
24.05.24	Unión La Calera - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.05.24	Cruzeiro - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.05.24	Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.05.24	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
05.05.24	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Alianza Valledupar
Copa Sudamericana
16.05.24	Universidad Católica - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
07.05.24	Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.04.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
03.04.24	Alianza Valledupar - Unión La Calera	0:1

Upcoming Matches