Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 21

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Unión La Calera		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.85	Watch
	2.20	3.40	3.00
	2.25	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.39	3.55	3.1
	2.25	3.46	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.45	3.05
	2.31	3.39	3.18	Watch
	2.23	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.15)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
41.3%

Draw
27.6%

Deportes La Serena
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 15. Salomoni J. 6. Lavin V. 4. Gutierrez C. 23. Perez R. 11. Saez S. (C) 8. Leiva Y. 29. Soto J. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 9. Pozzo F.	31. Tapia J. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 34. Rasso I. 33. Delgado R. 26. Dinamarca F. 4. Mac Allister F. 23. Marin M. 29. Pinto M. 10. Vargas J. (C) 14. Chamorro F. 9. Henriquez A.
Substitutes
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 19. Campos M. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 32. Ferreyra B. 27. Gutierrez D. 17. Hiriart M. 10. Mendez K. 5. Moya C. 14. Villanueva C.	5. Alarcon L. 6. Diaz S. 8. Escalante G. 16. Gutierrez J. 28. Orellana J. 3. Perez M. 11. Rubio D. 38. Saez I. (G) 17. Salazar Y.
Coaches
Cicotello M.	Gutierrez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Chamorro F. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽, Pinto M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marin M. 🟨,
46', Leiva Y. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
46', Chamorro F. ↓, Salazar Y. ↑,
61', Pozzo F. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
61', Henriquez A. ↓, Alarcon L. ↑,
67', Pinto M. ↓, Escalante G. ↑,
70', Villanueva C. 🟨,
70', Lavin V. ↓, Mendez K. ↑,
80', Soto J. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
83', Gutierrez B. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
84', Vargas J. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
90+1', Escalante G. 🟨,
90+1', Gutierrez F. 🟨,
90+4', Gutierrez C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 2.

Unión La Calera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes La Serena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Unión La Calera has had a series of away games.

Unión La Calera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
21.08.26	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - Unión La Calera	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.08.26	Cobresal - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
23.08.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
14.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
07.06.26	Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera	0:2
28.03.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	2:1
Chilean Primera Division
06.03.26	Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera	3:0
15.08.25	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	1:1
16.03.25	Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera	1:0
30.10.22	Deportes La Serena - Unión La Calera	2:1
21.05.22	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	1:1

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