Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 13

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)

Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium


	Unión La Calera		Palestino

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.57	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.6
	2.58	3.35	2.62
	2.58	3.4	2.71
	2.49	3.55	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.55	3.26	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.82)	3.32 ↑ (3.13)	2.62 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
36.6%

Draw
27.9%

Palestino
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Unión La Calera - Palestino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Andia Leon Y. W. 3. Palma N. 26. Maturana M. 10. Mendez K. 24. Requena J. 29. Soto J. 4. Gutierrez C. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 14. Villanueva C. 11. Saez S. (C)	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 24. Salgado D. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 6. Meza F. 23. Leon J. 18. Gallegos S. 8. Meza N. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 20. Tapia Paez G. 27. Munder C. 19. Da Silva N.
Substitutes
19. Campos M. 20. Cruz J. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 8. Leiva Y. 5. Moya C. 13. Pastene A. 9. Pozzo F.	30. Alegria I. 21. Araya M. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 5. Fernandez J. 9. Fernandez R. 13. Gomez A. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 1. Salas S. (G)
Coaches
Cicotello M.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Tapia Paez G. ⚽, Carrasco B. (A),
28', Salgado D. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Tapia Paez G. ⚽, Da Silva N. (A),
45+1', 1 - 2, Mendez K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maturana M. ↓, Moya C. ↑,
66', Moya C. 🟥,
68', Munder C. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
68', Da Silva N. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
68', Salgado D. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
69', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
69', Soto J. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
70', Villanueva C. 🟨,
77', Fernandez R. 🟨,
78', Villanueva C. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
86', Gutierrez C. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
86', Tapia Paez G. ↓, Bizama J. ↑,
90', Carrasco B. ↓, Araya M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Palestino	23	11	3	9	36:33	3	36
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
17.05.26	Huachipato - Unión La Calera	3:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	Unión La Calera - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Audax Italiano - Unión La Calera	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.26	Unión La Calera - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWTLW
- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Grêmio - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.05.26	Palestino - Deportes La Serena	5:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
11.05.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Montevideo City Torque - Palestino	1:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
02.05.26	Everton de Viña - Palestino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
29.08.25	Unión La Calera - Palestino	1:2
14.04.25	Palestino - Unión La Calera	1:0
18.08.24	Unión La Calera - Palestino	2:1
17.03.24	Palestino - Unión La Calera	0:0
06.08.23	Unión La Calera - Palestino	2:3
20.02.23	Palestino - Unión La Calera	1:1
29.07.22	Unión La Calera - Palestino	2:2

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