The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 21.6%
Draw 27.1%
San Luis de Quillota 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
28%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
27.1%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Luis de Quillota's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Unión San Felipe - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
San Luis de Quillota will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 16. Fuentes D. 34. Suarez C. (C) 2. Perales V. 25. Sanchez V. 6. Leon A. 27. Garcia L. 33. Gonzalez B. 14. Riveros B. 9. Aravena B. 23. Vides B.
12. Abarzua F. (G) 3. Meza I. 32. Villegas A. 6. Munoz L. 13. Munoz Alister N. 18. Avello G. 5. Torres J. 21. Pastenes F. 22. Bustos G. 10. Parada S. (C) 11. Carreno M.
Substitutes
21. Brun N. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 7. Henriquez O. 28. Jara I. 8. Palmieri N.
34. Catalan D. 19. Gonzalez D. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 9. Madrigal G. 1. Peranic N. (G) 27. Plaza G. 7. Vergara S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Perales V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bustos G. ↓, Vergara S. ↑,
49', Vides B. 🟨,
59', Parada S. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Vides B. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
60', Suarez C. ↓, Palmieri N. ↑,
61', Pastenes F. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
63', Munoz L. 🟨,
67', Villegas A. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
73', Leon A. ↓, Henriquez O. ↑,
80', Carreno M. ↓, Madrigal G. ↑,
80', Brun N. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
88', Palmieri N. 🟨,
89', 0 - 1, Munoz L. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 1.
In recent matches, Unión San Felipe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Luis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Luis might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
San Luis
26
13
8
5
41:29
12
47
15
San Felipe
26
5
7
14
16:44
-28
22
Last Results with these Odds
Unión San Felipe - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.34%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Canete L. (G) 
Perales V. 
Brun N. 
Madrigal G. 
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