Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 34

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Aldo e Dino Ballarin (Chioggia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Union Clodiense		Novara

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.05
	3.55	3.2	2.06
	3.48	3.19	2.16	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.15
	3.2	3.51	2.12	Watch
	3.55	3.2	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.72)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.1 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Clodiense
27.1%

Draw
29.1%

Novara
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Clodiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union Clodiense's form might have worsened.

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Clodiense than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Clodiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Union Clodiense - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gasparini M. (G) 32. Lattanzio A. 5. Salvi M. 4. Munaretto A. 99. Regonesi I. 10. Firenze M. 70. Chiwisa M. 11. Manfredonia M. 17. Orfei A. 18. Sinani I. 14. Biondi K.	1. Minelli S. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 5. Bertoncini D. 15. Khailoti O. 10. Donadio C. 21. Ranieri R. 99. Basso G. 8. Di Munno A. 72. Agyemang G. 7. Gerardini F. 90. Ganz S.
Substitutes
44. Cester S. 7. Kostadinov D. 6. Nelli J. 77. Pezzolato M. (G) 19. Scapin T. 13. Sinn L. 21. Tavcar A. 46. Vukusic R. 91. Zigoni G.	18. Akpa-Chukwu H. 6. Anzolin M. 31. Desjardins A. (G) 16. Gagliardi L. 25. Morosini L. 12. Negri E. (G) 11. Palsson A. 96. Valenti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Basso G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Agyemang G. ↓, Anzolin M. ↑,
76', Basso G. 🟨,
78', Chiwisa M. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
78', Regonesi I. ↓, Sinn L. ↑,
79', Nelli J. 🟨,
85', Manfredonia M. ↓, Zigoni G. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Biondi K. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Scapin T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Clodiense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Novara is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Novara will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Clodiense: Brzan R. (Injury) Martignago R. (Injury) Pozzi A. (Injury) Serena F. (Injury) Zigoni G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Novara: Ghiringhelli L. (Injury) Morosini L. (Inactive) da Graca C. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Clodiense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Clodiense SSD
Italian Serie C Group A
22.03.25	Renate - Union Clodiense	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Union Clodiense - AlbinoLeffe	1:3 ✺
13.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Union Clodiense	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Union Clodiense - Virtus Verona	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Alcione - Union Clodiense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.25	Novara - Padova	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Caldiero Terme - Novara	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Novara - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.11.24	Novara - Union Clodiense	0:0

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