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Current Win Probability
Union Plaani 37.8%
Draw 23.4%
Lahden Reipas 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
21.8%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
18.9%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union Plaani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Plaani's performance.
Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lahden Reipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Plaani than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Plaani that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lahden Reipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Union Plaani - Lahden Reipas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Hirvonen O. (G) 44. Afila V. 33. Hahl J. (C) 10. Harjula S. 77. Hassan M. 25. Hertsi L. 17. Kettunen T. 2. Kimari O. 11. Kuokkanen N. 34. Nikulainen V. 18. Paakkanen S.
13. Ratto V. (G) 16. Babiker A. 22. Flood P. 24. Helttunen O. 5. Kautonen T. (C) 21. Kuparinen E. 8. Paalanen A. 20. Salmensuu E. 18. Saltykov T. 25. Vaisanen K. 19. Verkko M.
Substitutes
28. Abdi T. 12. Belabid Y. (G) 4. Karjalainen J. 21. Kaukonen M. 9. Kivisto N. 19. Kuzniarek T. 84. Lahti R. 29. Nykanen A. 3. Solonen A.
11. Belhout Y. 31. Harkonen O. (G) 23. Mynttinen J. 12. Ndabawedje E. 9. Pellikka J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Vaisanen K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Kuokkanen N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kimari O. ↓, Solonen A. ↑,
61', Babiker A. ↓, Pellikka J. ↑,
66', Hertsi L. 🟨,
68', Kuokkanen N. ↓, Kivisto N. ↑,
68', Harjula S. ↓, Nykanen A. ↑,
81', Pellikka J. 🟨,
86', Kuparinen E. ↓, Belhout Y. ↑,
90+4', Hassan M. ↓, Lahti R. ↑,
Preview
Union Plaani has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Reipas is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Union Plaani may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Union Plaani in today's match, at odds of 2.44.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Union Plaani has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Union Plaani against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Finland
Watch
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Hirvonen O. (G) 
Afila V. 
Belabid Y. (G) 
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