The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barakaldo 57%
Draw 26.2%
Talavera de la Reina 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
28.6%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
27.9%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barakaldo's performance.
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barakaldo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barakaldo - Talavera de la Reina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 14. Munoz I. 8. Huidobro J. (C) 6. Naveira U. 17. de Leon J. 10. Sabin 19. Galarza A.
13. Belman (G) 16. Navarro I. 4. Lopez A. 23. Farrando M. 3. Roig A. 19. Gomez V. 21. Montero Sergio 6. Pitu 14. Molina A. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 9. Moreno M.
Substitutes
23. Albizua U. 2. de Jesus B. 3. Garcia B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 15. Jimenez I. 20. Mandiang S. 5. Molina E. 21. Pena A. 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.
7. Di Renzo G. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 34. Nordin M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 26. Sanchez J. 8. Sanchez L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Galarza A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Naveira U. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
48', Farrando M. 🟨,
56', Montero Sergio 🟨,
60', Sabin ↓, Pena A. ↑,
60', de Leon J. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
66', Molina E. 🟥,
70', Montero Sergio ↓, Nordin M. ↑,
73', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
79', Munoz I. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
81', Gomez V. ↓, Ouacharaf B. ↑,
81', Moreno M. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
82', Pena A. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Huidobro J. ⚽,
90+1', Pitu ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
90+4', Valino A. 🟨,
90+8', Molina A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Barakaldo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Talavera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Barakaldo is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Barakaldo
6
1
3
2
6:9
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Barakaldo - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.16%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Spain
Watch
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Campos G. (G) 
de Leon J. 
Di Renzo G. 
Nordin M. 
