Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	5
	1.66	3.25	4.6
	1.7	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.35	4.5
	1.72	3.49	5.05
	1.67	3.48	4.85
	1.73	3.45	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	4.78 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
54%

Draw
26.9%

Ceuta
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

29.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unionistas de Salamanca's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Unionistas de Salamanca - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unionistas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Unionistas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Unionistas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Algeciras - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Mérida AD - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTWT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	Ceuta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Ceuta - Ferrol	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Badajoz - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Ceuta - Algeciras	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLLW

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