Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 6

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Santos B. (Per)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Cusco

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.5	4.35	6	Watch
	1.49	4.25	6
	1.53	4.52	5.51
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.5	4.34	5.76	Watch
	1.49	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.79)	4.3 ↑ (3.72)	5.79 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
62.4%

Draw
21.6%

Cusco
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

25%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cusco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad César Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cusco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: Universidad César Vallejo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 14. Cabello C. 19. Ascues C. 6. Perea G. 32. Madrid J. 13. Barreto G. 88. Ballon J. 8. Ysique F. 17. Mena Y. 9. Paolo Guerrero 10. Velez J.	13. Vidal A. (G) 14. Zevallos J. 23. Ramirez R. 6. Perez A. 2. Bilbao J. 22. Colitto L. 10. Colman I. 20. Vasquez A. 26. Silva N. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O.
Substitutes
7. Barreto O. 44. Benavente C. 33. Benitez E. 21. Carvallo J. (G) 23. Da Silva P. 5. Deneumostier A. 29. Loyola N. 20. Noronha O. 27. Ramirez A.	5. Aucca M. 29. Correa E. 7. Morales J. 18. Nunez J. 9. Ramos L. 3. Schmidt F. 33. Solis C. (G) 19. Tamariz A.
Coaches
Mosquera R.	Rondelli M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 2.

César Vallejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cusco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match César Vallejo is a favorite.

Last 31 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 35-38.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
25.02.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Cajamarca - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Universidad César Vallejo - FBC Melgar	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLWL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
24.02.24	Sport Boys - Cusco	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Sport Huancayo - Cusco	2:0 ✺
02.02.24	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	FBC Melgar - Cusco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.10.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco	3:1
11.06.23	Cusco - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
19.07.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco	1:0
03.05.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco	1:1
24.11.20	Cusco - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
07.03.20	Cusco - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1
14.10.19	Cusco - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0

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