Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 13

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.71	3.7	4.6
	1.7	3.85	4.78
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.69	3.8	4.95	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)	3.71 ↓ (3.95)	4.73 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
55.3%

Draw
25%

Deportivo Municipal
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for César Vallejo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 3.

César Vallejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Municipal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match César Vallejo is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-13.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.23	Botafogo RJ - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
15.04.23	Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.03.23	ADT Tarma - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
16.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
08.04.23	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	0:2 ✺
31.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
29.10.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
02.07.22	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	1:4
26.09.21	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	2:0
29.03.21	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:4
21.11.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	0:1
01.02.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
20.09.19	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	3:1

Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide