Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.9
	2.28	3.4	3
	2.35	3.46	3.03
	2.3	3.2	2.88
	2.29	3.45	2.99	Watch
	2.32	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.06)	3.32 ↓ (3.35)	2.97 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
40.4%

Draw
28.1%

Deportes Magallanes
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Universidad César Vallejo - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Magallanes will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for César Vallejo: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rabines M. (G) 16. Gonzalez S. 19. Ascues C. 6. Garces R. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 25. Fuentes A. 8. Ysique F. 23. Quinteros R. 7. Velez J. 27. Ramirez A. 17. Mena Y.	1. Rodriguez G. (G) 4. Poblete M. 2. Pinero F. 6. Berardo N. 14. Espinoza F. 7. Alfaro J. 10. Aranguiz T. 21. Villanueva C. 27. Canales A. 11. Zapata Y. 17. Flores F.
Substitutes
4. Fleitas L. 22. Flores F. 1. Grados C. (G) 20. Noronha O. 24. Olaya S. 70. Ray Vanegas 80. Rodriguez A. 28. Santibanez S. 30. Villacorta A.	3. Acevedo A. 28. Barria A. 36. Contreras S. 15. Crovetto N. 20. Filla M. 23. Jorquera C. 26. Nunez Marambio N. 12. Parraguez S. (G) 18. Quiroz J. 24. Souper A. 30. Tapia D. (G) 5. Vilches C.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Salas M.

Preview

Recent matches César Vallejo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Magallanes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Magallanes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Magallanes have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
04.06.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	3:1 ✺
31.05.23	FBC Melgar - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Botafogo RJ	2:3 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.23	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0 ✺
14.05.23	Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLT
- Deportes Magallanes
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
19.05.23	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Magallanes	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
09.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2

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