Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 23 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)


	Deportes Magallanes		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.4	2.02
	3.7	3.51	2.04
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.65	3.32	2.06	Watch
	3.35	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.65)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)	2.05 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
26.3%

Draw
28%

LDU Quito
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Magallanes's form might have worsened.

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LDU Quito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Deportes Magallanes - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Magallanes will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Magallanes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

LDU Quito is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Magallanes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Magallanes have a series of home games.

LDU Quito will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Primera Division
19.05.23	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Magallanes	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
09.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
23.04.23	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.05.23	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Emelec - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
08.05.23	LDU Quito - Delfín	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.04.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
19.04.23	LDU Quito - Deportes Magallanes	4:0

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