The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad San Martín 24.4%
Draw 29.1%
Sport Huancayo 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
30%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
30.8%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad San Martín's form might have worsened.
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Huancayo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad San Martín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
26.7%
60%
Universidad San Martín - Sport Huancayo Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Uni San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Huancayo will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Huancayo: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 3).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 1.
Universidad San Martín is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Huancayo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Huancayo have a series of guest games.
Huancayo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 23 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 31-33.
Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-8.
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