The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 64.1%
Draw 22%
Universidad San Martín 13.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
24.5%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
25.3%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.9%
10.7%
21.4%
Cajamarca - Universidad San Martín Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Uni San Martín will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 50.6% – 85.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 0.
Cajamarca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Universidad San Martín is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Universidad San Martín have a series of home games.
In this match Cajamarca is indisputable favorite.
Last 25 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 8 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34-34.
Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-10.