Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 17

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universidad de Concepción		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.50	Watch
	2.60	3.25	2.60
	2.70	3.20	2.48	Watch
	2.71	3.39	2.74
	2.51	3.36	2.72	Watch
	2.60	3.25	2.70
	2.78	3.52	2.51	Watch
	2.50	3.20	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.59)	3.32 ↓ (3.37)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
35.9%

Draw
28.2%

Audax Italiano
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.6%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 21. Espejo J. 32. Saez B. 6. Ubal B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 8. Mater F. 16. Ogaz B. 19. Mesias C. 10. Fuentealba J. 18. Waterman C. (C) 7. Gonzalez I.	1. Ahumada T. (G) 35. Rebolledo R. 13. Ferrario E. 4. Pina D. 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. (C) 32. Soto B. 7. Guajardo P. 28. Mateos F. 19. Pinares C. 11. Troyansky F. 21. Chiaverano G.
Substitutes
3. Barbieri M. 1. Broun J. (G) 11. Diaz A. 34. Herrera F. 20. Rojas L. 23. Romero P. 29. Sabando D. 25. Salgado H. 36. Suazo M.	9. Coelho D. 8. Collao M. 27. Fuentes M. 25. Garrido P. (G) 14. Monreal D. 29. Ortiz M. 22. Pizarro D. 6. Sandoval M. 30. Uribe A.
Coaches
Viveros R.	Graff P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Chiaverano G. ⚽, Guajardo P. (A),
34', Pina D. 🟥,
37', Soto B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soto B. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
61', Guajardo P. 🟨,
61', Espejo J. 🟨,
62', Espejo J. ↓, Barbieri M. ↑,
62', Mesias C. ↓, Rojas L. ↑,
67', Mateos F. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
67', Guajardo P. ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
74', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
75', Saez B. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
78', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
82', Chiaverano G. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
82', Ogaz B. ↓, Sabando D. ↑,
82', Gonzalez I. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
87', Troyansky F. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 2.

Uni de Concepción has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Audax Italiano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Uni de Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	A. Italiano	23	7	7	9	26:31	-5	28
15	U. De Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18:40	-22	23

Last Results with these Odds

Universidad de Concepción - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Audax Italiano - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Cup
05.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
25.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	4:2 ✺
20.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLL
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division
26.07.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.07.26	Deportes Magallanes - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Audax Italiano - Palestino	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
06.02.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Concepción	3:0
12.12.20	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	3:1
15.03.20	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Concepción	1:1
06.04.19	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	1:0
28.07.18	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Concepción	4:1
07.04.18	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	1:0
27.08.17	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	1:1

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