Match Info

Date: 28 December 2020, Monday


	Universidad de Concepción		Everton

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.1
	2.95	3.2	2.17
	3.1	3.35	2.2
	3.09	3.49	2.36
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	3.16	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (3.06)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	2.23 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
30.3%

Draw
28%

Everton
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.9%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

20.9%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Universidad de Concepción have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Concepción that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Everton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31%	20.7%	48.3%

Universidad de Concepción - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Everton will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 30.1% – 66.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Universidad de Concepción is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Everton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Everton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Everton have a series of home games.

Everton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Universidad de Concepción won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad de Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
21.12.20	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	0:2 ✺
16.12.20	Deportes Iquique - Universidad de Concepción	4:0 ✺
12.12.20	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	3:1 ✺
08.12.20	Cobresal - Universidad de Concepción	3:1 ✺
03.12.20	Unión Española - Universidad de Concepción	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLT
- Everton
English Premier League
26.12.20	Sheffield United - Everton	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.12.20	Everton - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.12.20	Everton - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
19.12.20	Everton - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.12.20	Everton - Unión Española	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
24.01.20	Everton - Universidad de Concepción	2:1
27.09.19	Everton - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
16.02.19	Universidad de Concepción - Everton	0:0
10.08.18	Everton - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
21.04.18	Universidad de Concepción - Everton	2:0
29.10.17	Everton - Universidad de Concepción	2:1
17.03.17	Everton - Universidad de Concepción	2:0

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