Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Unión Española		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.74	3.65	3.8
	1.88	3.65	3.65
	1.93	3.82	3.92
	1.88	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.91	3.88	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)	3.66 ↓ (3.74)	3.78 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
50.2%

Draw
25.3%

Universidad de Concepción
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

16.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Española that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Española - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Unión Española is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad de Concepción is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universidad de Concepción could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Unión Española is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
23.11.20	Unión Española - OHiggins	0:2 ✺
19.11.20	Santiago Wanderers - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Unión Española - Unión La Calera	3:2 ✺
01.11.20	Coquimbo Unido - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Unión Española - Cobresal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWTW
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
23.11.20	Universidad de Concepción - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
18.11.20	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
29.10.20	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
21.10.20	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Concepción	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
03.09.20	Universidad de Concepción - Unión Española	2:3
05.10.19	Universidad de Concepción - Unión Española	1:1
12.05.19	Unión Española - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
26.10.18	Universidad de Concepción - Unión Española	1:0
03.03.18	Unión Española - Universidad de Concepción	2:3
20.12.17	Unión Española - Universidad de Concepción	1:2
13.12.17	Universidad de Concepción - Unión Española	1:0

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