The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Deportes 73.6%
Draw 18.1%
Deportivo Garcilaso 8.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
25.1%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
24.9%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Deportes's performance.
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Deportes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Vargas M. (G) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 4. Santamaria A. 24. Polo A. 10. Calcaterra H. 6. Castillo J. 17. Concha J. 27. Carabali J. 19. Flores E. (C) 20. Valera A.
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 19. Gomez A. 13. Benincasa H. 2. Salazar A. 8. Gonzalez A. 14. Torrejon C. 23. Moreno X. 30. Da Silva B. 27. Ascues A. 24. Olivares C.
Substitutes
26. Ancajima H. 29. Corzo A. 8. Fertoli H. 33. Inga C. 99. Miguel Silveira 23. Murrugarra J. 77. Reyna B. 11. Rivera J. 1. Romero D. (G)
31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 29. Graneros A. 16. Nunez O. 22. Portales J. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 10. Sandoval K. 7. Sinisterra J. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Rabanal J.
Dominguez S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Valera A. ⚽, Flores E. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Fara C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
46', Ascues A. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Valera A. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Moreno X. ↓, Nunez O. ↑,
66', Torrejon C. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
66', Gonzalez A. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Olivares C. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
74', Valera A. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
74', Calcaterra H. ↓, Fertoli H. ↑,
74', Gomez A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
79', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
80', Castillo J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
90+1', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni de Deportes is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Perez Guedes M.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Peru
Usa
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Vargas M. (G) 
Fara C. 
Riveros W. 
Santamaria A. 
Carabali J. 
Gonzalez A. 
Miguel Silveira 
Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 
Sinisterra J. 
Rabanal J. 
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