The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Deportes 21%
Draw 22%
Atlético Grau 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.2%
20.7%
63.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.6%
20%
65.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Deportes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Grau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Grau will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Deportes: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Uni de Deportes (3.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Caceres W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Ruidiaz Y. (Penalty Awarded),
50', Gonzales M. 🟥,
84', Ruidiaz R. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Uni de Deportes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
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