Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Universitario de Deportes		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.4	2.87	3.2
	2.32	3.05	3.3
	2.51	2.89	3.33
	2.35	2.75	3.2
	2.4	3.02	3.2	Watch
	2.4	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.47)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	3.23 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
38.9%

Draw
32.1%

Corinthians
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.3%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Universitario de Deportes - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Romero D. (G) 29. Corzo A. (C) 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 24. Polo A. 18. Urena R. 16. Perez M. 27. Cabanillas N. 36. Quispe Cordova P. A. 11. Urruti L. 15. Herrera E.	22. Carlos Miguel (G) 2. Rafael Ramos 25. Bruno Mendez 14. Caetano 34. Murillo 21. Matheus Bidu 28. Adson 20. Giuliano (C) 33. Ruan O. 10. Roger Guedes 41. Felipe Augusto
Substitutes
26. Ancajima H. 14. Bolivar J. 10. Calcaterra H. 12. Calderon J. (G) 77. Celi Y. 8. Flores E. 30. Guzman P. 23. Murrugarra J. 17. Rivera J. 37. Rojas A. 2. Saravia M. 7. Succar A.	11. Angel Romero 26. Biro 24. Cantillo V. 77. Chrystian Barletta 47. Joao Pedro 13. Leo Mana 30. Matheus Araujo 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 7. Maycon 29. Roni 49. Ryan 36. Wesley
Coaches
Fossati J.	Luxemburgo V.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Universitario de Deportes is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Corinthians is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universitario de Deportes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
14.07.23	Universitario de Deportes - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Corinthians - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
07.07.23	Cantolao - Universitario de Deportes	1:4 ✺
03.07.23	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.06.23	Universitario de Deportes - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
15.07.23	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Corinthians - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.07.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.07.23	Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Corinthians - Universitario de Deportes	1:0

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