Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4


	Independiente Santa Fe		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.25
	1.73	3.55	4.9
	1.68	3.72	5.35
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.69	3.65	5.15	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.85)	3.57 ↑ (3.34)	5.09 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Canada

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
55.4%

Draw
26.3%

Universitario de Deportes
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

28%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Independiente Santa Fe - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espitia J. (G) 27. Viafara F. 3. Aja J. 2. Torres M. 30. Mosquera D. 8. Barboza J. 5. Rojas I. 23. Sambueza F. 11. Rodallega H. 20. Rivera H. 9. De La Rosa W.	1. Carvallo J. (G) 29. Corzo A. 2. Saravia M. 3. Riveros W. 24. Polo A. 16. Perez M. 18. Urena R. 10. Calcaterra H. 27. Cabanillas N. 11. Urruti L. 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
25. Arcila J. 18. Aristizabal Juan 21. Delgado F. 28. Mantilla Camargo K. A. 80. Marrugo C. 6. Moreno C. 7. Moreno N. 16. Palacio D. 26. Prieto D. 4. Ramirez Pisciotti D. 33. Rodriguez O. (G) 31. Torres J.	26. Ancajima H. 4. Barco A. 14. Bolivar J. 77. Celi Y. 30. Guzman P. 15. Herrera E. 6. Lujan J. 23. Murrugarra J. 36. Quispe Cordova P. A. 17. Rivera J. 21. Romero D. (G) 7. Succar A.
Coaches
Bedoya G.	Fossati J.

Preview

Santa Fe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Universitario de Deportes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Fe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.05.23	Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
14.05.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Huila	5:0 ✺
11.05.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
02.06.23	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.05.23	Goiás - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.23	Universitario de Deportes - Universidad César Vallejo	4:0 ✺
14.05.23	Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Universitario de Deportes - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0

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