The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 45.2%
Draw 27%
Santiago Wanderers 27.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.3%
25.9%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
24.6%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Unión Española - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santiago Wanderers (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Uribe E. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 18. Aja J. 3. Alarcon R. 24. Norambuena G. 4. Celis M. 19. Araos A. 17. Massri F. 20. Wassenne M. 11. Ratotti F. 10. Aranguiz P.
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 31. Valenzuela C. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 5. Navarro L. 19. Villarroel C. 27. Vera V. 14. Ponce C. 32. Vargas V. 23. Flores I.
Substitutes
38. Chadwick Bosco C. A. 2. Contreras K. 30. Cordero R. 6. Jauregui B. 14. Nunez I. 1. Parra M. (G) 9. Vilches Araneda A.
20. Avendano L. 10. Luna J. 38. Portilla D. 37. San Martin D. 29. Silva C. 25. Terrazas F. (G) 15. Villarroel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Flores I. ⚽,
11', Ratotti F. 🟨,
17', Navarro P. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ratotti F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Vera V. ↓, San Martin D. ↑,
64', Felipe S. 🟨,
65', Massri F. 🟨,
68', Aja J. 🟨,
68', Navarro L. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Navarro L. ↓, Portilla D. ↑,
79', Celis M. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
79', Ratotti F. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
82', Flores I. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
82', Ponce C. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
82', Villarroel C. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
87', Araos A. ↓, Nunez I. ↑,
87', Aranguiz P. ↓, Chadwick Bosco C. A. ↑,
90+1', Portilla D. 🟨,
90+2', Chadwick Bosco C. A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 2, Portilla D. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 3.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Santiago Wanderers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Unión Española holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Unión Española has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:27 (averaging 1.7:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unión Española against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 17:13 goals (averaging 2.1:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
29
14
8
7
48:32
16
50
9
U. Espanola
29
11
6
12
34:37
-3
39
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.71%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Uribe E. (G) 
Aja J. 
Massri F. 
Ratotti F. 
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