Match Info

Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yekaterinburg Arena (Yekaterinburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Ural		Akhmat Grozny

	1	X	2
	2.56	3.05	3.14
	2.78	3.09	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.91)	3.07 ↓ (3.32)	3.01 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ural
36.3%

Draw
31.5%

Akhmat Grozny
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

29.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akhmat Grozny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akhmat Grozny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ural - Akhmat Grozny Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ural will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Akhmat will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 2 - 100%).

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Mamin A. (G) 22. Beveev M. 5. Egorychev A. 2. Begic S. 24. Filipenko E. (C) 14. Zheleznov Y. 44. Malkevich V. 75. Sungatulin F. 15. Ishkov I. 37. Bondarev V. 17. Sekulic M.	1. Ulyanov V. (G) 95. Adamov A. 4. Ibishev T. 47. Utkin D. 5. Satara M. 3. Goglichidze L. 28. Zorin D. 18. Kamilov V. 11. Silva I. 10. Sadulaev L. 77. Melkadze G.
Substitutes
55. Ayupov T. 4. Bessmertniy S. 27. Chudin I. 46. Mamin A. 43. Margasov T. 20. Markov E. 18. Morozov N. 42. Mosin E. 77. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 50. Voronov M.	7. Berisha B. 8. Bogosavac M. 24. Divanovic Z. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 9. Ruiz Diaz R. 20. Samorodov M. 88. Shelia G. (G) 14. Talal A. 40. Utsiev R. 71. Yakuev M. 2. Zhirov A.
Coaches
Tomarov S.	Tashuev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Egorychev A. 🟨,
16', Todorovic D. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽,
26', Sungatulin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sungatulin F. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
46', Todorovic D. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Sekulic M. (Pen),
59', 2 - 1, Sekulic M. ⚽, Ishkov I. (A),
64', Zorin D. ↓, Talal A. ↑,
65', Begic S. 🟨,
72', Ishkov I. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
82', Egorychev A. ↓, Markov E. ↑,
82', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Mosin E. ↑,
89', Melkadze G. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
89', Sekulic M. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
90', Kamilov V. ↓, Divanovic Z. ↑,
90+6', Mamin A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural won 0.

Ural has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Akhmat's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Akhmat: Ghandri N. (Injury) Shvets A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ural won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ural won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural
Russian FNL
24.05.25	Ural - SKA Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
18.05.25	Tyumen - Ural	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Ural - Ufa	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Ural - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL
- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	3:0 ✺
18.05.25	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Akron Tolyatti - Akhmat Grozny	3:2 ✺
04.05.25	Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Akhmat Grozny	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
02.03.24	Akhmat Grozny - Ural	1:0
02.09.23	Ural - Akhmat Grozny	0:1
08.04.23	Akhmat Grozny - Ural	2:0
17.09.22	Ural - Akhmat Grozny	1:2
13.03.22	Ural - Akhmat Grozny	0:0
24.10.21	Akhmat Grozny - Ural	1:0
24.04.21	Ural - Akhmat Grozny	1:1

Upcoming Matches